Anyone wanna play Cards Against Humanity with me?
CycloneRyne94 (talk) 00:44, August 7, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
Friday, 7-31-1987. 30 years ago to this day is a day that many in the Canadian city of Edmonton refer to as 'Black Friday'. It is no wonder--as this day marks the anniversary of a violent F4 tornado that tore through the city, killing 27 people in its 19 mile path of destruction, and caused hundreds of millions of dollars in damage.
Weather forecasts issued during the morning and early afternoon of July 31, 1987 by Environment Canada revealed a high potential for unusually severe thunderstorms that afternoon, particularly for the Edmonton area due to a cold front that developed over western Alberta, colliding with the warm moist air that persisted over the region fom the previous week. The system in place had already set off a series of str…
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I have some questions for everybody. Here is one- what wind speed would an M3 tornado be?
Here is the other- would an African tornado have a special name?Read more >
Well this is rather stupid.. I was hoping to be more active by now and yet my Article making Inspiration keeps getting shot.
It's weird, I really dont understand why my Article Making Inspiration (or whatever else you wanna call it) has been so bad this year.. especially after the extra active years of 2015-16.. and it's not just here that im seeing the problem but on the other wikis..
But i do have an idea for sunday (Aka: Cards Against Humanity Sunday, as i would call it) that will hopefully help in some way.
CycloneRyne94 (talk) 18:10, July 21, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
Ok, as most people can tell...my activity has gone way down since I became Head Bureaucrat, however it is becoming harder and harder to make pages on Wikia, and I am announcing my retirement from the Administration of Hypothetical Tornadoes Wiki, I may return again if Visual Editor gets fixed, but until then I will likely be rarely editing, I am discontinuing my adminstrator place. farewell - NoJO
No, this does not mean I will stop editing pages!Read more >
Hey Guys, would anyone like to join me on Cards Against Humanity?
CycloneRyne94 (talk) 00:53, July 17, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
Hello everyone! Brickcraft1 here!
This blog is about the severe weather being caused by TD 4's remnants along the gulf coast, particarlly my location. The main threat with these storms is extremely heavy downpours. For instance, it has rained 3.32 inches in about an hour here. However, some of these storms have gotten strong. Strong winds are occurring, and a storm yesterday produced hail to my South.
I feel like the SPC should issue a Marginal risk becuase of this, but that's my opinion.
Thanks for reading
Brickcraft1 (talk) Have a great day! 20:29, July 15, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
I thought i'd stop by to invite you guys to come play Cards Against Humanity (Online) with me at 8:45 PM on Sunday.
I usually just ask the guys on Hypothetical Hurricanes this but i thought maybe you guys might want in on my bi-weekly "Cards Against Humanity Sunday" thing.
CycloneRyne94 (talk) 23:49, July 14, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
i need bagsRead more >
NOTE: UNDER CONSTRUCTION
First of all, happy first week of July to everyone. As well as being the peak month for severe weather in Canada, July is also the heart of "derecho season" across most of North America and Europe. I'll admit that even though I'm fascinated by all thunderstorms, derechoes are special. I think they're the second-most interesting type of severe weather behind supercells, probably the most visually impressive, and easily the most terrifying, at least in my opinion.
As I'm sure everyone here knows, derechoes are intense straight-line windstorms that are pushed ahead of a fast-moving quasi-linear convective system (squall line). Because of this, a derecho is almost always oriented north to south and moves roughly northea…Read more >
Eugene has became a major hurricane with 111MPH winds, Category 3 Hurricane Eugene is located in the Pacific Ocean off the Baja California pensicula. Eugene was originally supposed to be a Category 1 hurricane at its peak with a peak expected of 80MPH, it now has 116MPH winds as of the time of this blog post.Read more >
Eugene, which first had advisories initated on it yesterday...may already by a Category 1 hurricane, while the newest advisory still lists this system as a Tropical Storm, it will likely become a Hurricane in the next advisory, the storm currently has 72MPH winds (according to Force 13) as of 7:00PM Eastern Daylight Time, otherwards 2MPH below Category 1 strength. the storm will likely become a Category 1 within the next few minutes.
UPDATE AT 0018Z:
Eugene has became a Category 1 hurricane.Read more >
THIS IS ONLY A POSSIBILITY:
Hurricane Dora is the first Hurricane of the 2017 Pacific Hurricane Season, it is also the first hurricane obversed by GOES-16. Hurricane Dora has a 50-70% chance of becoming a Category 3+ hurricane in my opinion. Gusts are currently in the Category 2 hurricane range, even though it is only rated a Category 1, Dora will likely become a Category 2, and possibly become a Category 3/4, looking at it's eye I would not be surprised if it is already a Cat 2 or Cat 3. Please stay tuned for further updates from the NoJO Hurricane Center.Read more >
On Tuesday, June 13, the Storm Prediction Center had issued a 15% chance of severe thunderstorms for my area of southwestern Ontario, and by June 15 a Slight risk had been issued based on a 15% risk of damaging wind gusts. In the morning of Saturday, June 17, that risk was downgraded to a Marginal risk, but CAPE values were high enough that I started thinking about driving out to see if I could snag some hail.
I called three of my fellow severe weather nuts at Brock University - Dylan, Emily, and Josh, and all three of them agreed to go chasing. We voted on whether to target the London, Ontario area or the Toronto area. I voted for London, but all three of the others voted for Toronto, so I was forced to shut up and jump on the bandwagon. W…Read more >
Alissa The Wise Wolf has asked me to do research on the science of severe weather, which is mainly what my novel is about. However I need to do more digging into tornadogenesis, and I'm not very good with science . . . or math.
The novel takes place in Minneapolis in 2036. I have a wiki page called "2036 Upper Midwest Tornado Sequence" that I been working on for about a week now. A few of the tornadoes in the page are also part of my book. I have been working on the book for the last three years with no help, and I have been trying to produce a novel about tornadoes for as long as I can remember.
Since it seems like I have all the beginning events of the book in place, I joined Hypothetical Tornadoes because I saw an opportunity to expand on …Read more >
June 16, 1992 is a date which carries little weight for many outside of the tiny Minnesota towns of Chandler and Lake Wilson. However, today marks 25 years that those two communities were slammed by a F5 tornado in the midst of a widespread tornado outbreak that produced the 5th largest two-day tornado count on record, with 123 tornadoes touching down between June 15 and June 16. Touching down just after 5 PM, intense damage was visible early on in this tornado's track just east of Leota not long after the twister's inception. The tornado completely destroyed a two house farmstead; where the grass was partially scoured, a basement was left bare and the trees, utility poles and buildings were all stripped bare or absent entirely as it stre…Read more >
DO NOT TALK ON ITRead more >
OK, so a Moderate Risk of severe weather has been issued on the 0600 UTC SPC outlook, which is mentioning the possibility of several severe wind gusts, large to very large hail, and a few tornadoes.
The Moderate Risk area covers most of MO, as well as parts of KS, OK, AR, TN, KY and IN. Within this area, there is a High (45%) risk of severe wind gusts, a High (45%) risk of large to very large hail, and a Slight (10%) risk of tornadoes. The Enhanced Risk entirely surrounds the Moderate area, as usual, and also covers parts of IL, as well as the remainder of TN. The Slight Risk covers the areas around the Moderate and Enhanced Risks, and goes up into the eastern coast.
I'd like to finish by saying that thunderstorms have already caused the iss…Read more >
Today marks 20 years to the day that mother nature conspired to wipe 50 homes and 27 lives off of the face of the Earth. It was on this date in 1997 that a storm that would define the "5" rating in tornadoes, and the most recent tornado to attain such intensity in Texas. On the afternoon of May 27, 1997, multiple severe thunderstorms exploded into the afternoon sky from the highly unstable conditions that had permeated all morning. Several of these storms began unexpectedly drifting to the southwest under the influence of a passing "gravity wave" (outflow boundary) from a dying storm system around the Oklahoma/Arkansas border. Hugging a dry line that helped sustain this growing supercell by allowing it to constantly regenerate its updraft,…Read more >
At this point, you may have noticed that I barely edit pages and make them, that is because the scripts are freaking messed up...I was making a new outbreak titled Tornado outbreak of January 1, 2019 when everything just wanted to break, it removed the tornado chart for no reason...it also removed the area of text that I was typing, and kept removing it. I will probably return to normal activity soon. - Co-owner, NoJORead more >
Yep, this series is still going, and remains useful I'm finding, so here goes. On this day, in 2008, a massive tornado, alter rated EF5, swept away a large portion of the city of Parkersburg, Iowa, killing 7 people, and causing several hundred million Dollars in damages in the process. Below is a video relating to a team of storm chasers in the city at the time of the tornado on that fateful day:Read more >
OK,brief blog today in remembrance of the EF5 tornado that ravaged Joplin, MO around 7PM CDT on May 22, 2011. The tornado left 161 people dead, and hundreds more injured. Entire apartment complexes, and the hospital was so badly compromised that it had to be torn down and rebuilt. Below is a video of the emergency services radio during the event:Read more >
Well, I'd like to say that today has certainly lived up to my expectations. A High Risk of severe weather has been issued, with this risk containing the possibility for several strong, long track tornadoes also included in this risk.
The High Risk includes parts of KS and OK, where the SPC specifically says "...A tornado outbreak is likely across parts of the southern and central Plains today and tonight...", which is of particular concern considering the amount of highly populated areas within this risk area. Within the High Risk area, there is a High Risk (30%) chance for tornadoes, a Moderate Risk (30%) for severe wind gusts, and a High Risk (45%) for large or very large hail.
It is worth noting that several long track,potentially violent…Read more >
OK, this post is going to be mainly about last night, but I'll start with the outlook first, as it makes sense to do so.
An Enhanced Risk is currently in effect for IA, WI and MN. This is followed by the standard Slight and Marginal Risks.
Anyway, on to the biggest part of the post. 2 very large, violent and long lived tornadoes occurred last night, in Elk City, OK and Oklahoma, WI. Both of these storms caused heavy damage, injury totals, and 1 death each.
In Elk City, OK, the tornado was multiple vortex in nature, and completely debarked trees within the neighbourhoods hit hardest. This is a sign of EF4 damage, however, buildings appear to have taken high end EF3 to low end EF4 damage in the worst cases.
Now, on to Oklahoma, WI, where a long …Read more >
Alrighty, I know it's been a while since I last did an outlook blog, but today is a Moderate Risk, so it is needed.
The Moderate Risk area is located across parts of OK and TX, surrounded by a large Enhanced Risk area that goes up into the OH Valley. this is surrounded by the usual Slight Risk area. Within the Moderate Risk area, there is a Moderate (15%) risk of tornadoes, a Moderate Risk (30%) for severe wind gusts, and a High Risk (45%) chance of large to very large hail.
It is worth noting that a Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch was issued not long ago, which is for the entire Moderate Risk area, as well as a significant portion of the surrounding Enhanced Risk area.
I'll update this in a few hours if I can. If not, I will enco…Read more >
Im offically comming out of retirement which means i might increase inactivtyRead more >
On another wiki I was looking around when I saw "Hypothetical Tornadoes" I was confused...and then it said Discover New Wikis...uh...I am the co-owner of that wiki already.Read more >
On this day in history, not one, but two F5-rated tornadoes cut through two Texas cities, leaving complete devastation and very high death tolls in their paths. One of these tornadoes ties as the deadliest in Texas state history, destroying over a third of the city of Waco, while the other was arguably one of the most violent in Texas, tearing through Lubbock exactly 17 years later.
Below I'll compare the two tornadoes, and do my own crude assessment of their strength based on today's rating standards.
The Waco, Texas F5 - May 11, 1953
Monday, May 11, 1953 dawned humid and sunny over the city of Waco. To the south, outflow boundaries from a few scattered thunderstorms from the previous night were developing, and by early afternoon, a dry line…
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the F3 badge is one of the rarest badges of Hypothetical Tornadoes Wiki, the F3 badge is a badge that you earn when you get a 60 day streak...so this is what it says on my page
contribute to the wiki every day for 60 days ( 58/60 )Read more >
Ok, the Tropical Storm icon has a hurricane style eye of some sorts, the TS icon is always missing the middle...even the official National Hurricane Center does this!!
If you see to the right Tropical Storm Adrian (which is forecast to become a hurricane in a few days) HAS A EYE WITH THE ICON!?!! Now I can get The Weather Channel doing this because they put the category in the middle, but atleast make the TS solid and say "TS" The NHC also puts a eye on their TS icon, I know this isn't related to wiki topic but I am using this to Ctrl+C and Ctrl+V on some other wikis I get on. (that this is related to wiki topic)Read more >
So, you have saw the title. You're not seeing things. I actually am going to officially leave this wiki and the "Hypothetical" wikis as I feel like I don't have sufficient interest in these wikis anymore. I haven't edited here in ages, and this is not my thing anymore. Other than loss of interest, other reasons why I haven't been here have been school (working towards graduation), real life, and being on other websites. It is time that I move away from a subject that I became interested in as a 13 year old back in 2012 (hypothetical hurricanes being my first wiki). You might find me on other wikis in the coming weeks. Current plans is that I might rejoin Candy Crush Wiki, and I might find more wikis to contribute afterward. There may even …Read more >
On this day in 1975, an outbreak of tornadoes hit the states of Louisiana, Taxas, Mississippi, South Dakota, Nebraska and Iowa with 36 confirmed tornadoes reported by the NWS.
By far the most significant of these, and the namesake of the outbreak, was the F4 tornado that tore through parts of downtown Omaha, Nebraska. The tornado initially touched down in Sarpy county, before passing through Douglas County and crossing over I-80 into Omaha. Along the tornadoes path, severe damage to buildings was noted, including several that were completely levelled, and thousands of trees were either snapped or debarked. This tornado was the cause of 3 fatalities during the outbreak.
The other significant tornado of the outbreak was another F4, which struc…Read more >
Today marks a date in which tornadoes changed many lives in their respective years of occurrence. On this day in 2003, 86 tornadoes touched down on the most prolific day of what would become the record for the most tornadoes recorded in a single period of continuous activity (401). Four F4 tornadoes were recorded among that number: one in and around Franklin, Kansas; two in Kansas City, Missouri; and another in Jackson, Tennessee. The Franklin tornado killed one; the first Kansas City tornado killed two; and the Jackson tornado killed eleven, and each incurred millions in damages.
However, the largest event on this date was what took a city in the night. In what today makes only a decade ago, the Greensburg, Kansas tornado swept through the…
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OK, I'll start a little differently today, with a little history. On this day back in 1999, an F5 tornado ripped through parts of Bridge Creek and Moore, Oklahoma, killing 36 people, injuring 583 others, and causing $1 billion in damages, which was a record at the time. Another record set by this tornado was the highest wind observed on earth, when Joshua Wurman, a storm chaser/tornado expert veteran, used his Dopplar on Wheels to measure the 318 mph winds about 100 meters off the ground.
Now, onto the present, and todays outlook. An Enhanced Risk is now in effect for all of Louisiana, as well as parts of Texas, Arkansas and Mississippi. A Slight Risk surrounds this area, followed by the Marginal as always. The main risks are expected to be…Read more >
OK, for those have been following the updates on Canton, I have another one now.
A preliminary damage survey was done yesterday, which has concluded mid range EF4 damage for the western Canton tornado. Whether this gets raised to EF5 depends on certain factors. Whilst some buildings did get swept away by the tornado, untethered buildings that get swept away entirely can only be rated at best high end EF4, whilst tethered buildings tend to get to get the EF5 rating. Also, due to lack of scouring in the worst damaged areas as well, this also likely indicates an EF4 tornado at most. The winds for this tornado have a preliminary 180 mph estimate, or mid range EF4.
The tornado that passed through downtown Canton is still currently on its EF3 prel…Read more >
OK then, here goes the first outlook of the month of May. An Enhanced Risk is in place for today, with the expected risk once again expected to be large hail (15%), damaging winds (30%), and a few tornadoes (5%).
The concerning thing about today is that the risk is typically in somewhere that doesnt usually see such a high risk. Areas under an Enhanced Risk today include parts of Maryland, Washington DC, Pennsylvania, New York, and North Carolina, as well as parts of Massachusetts. If I have any of the areas listed here wrong, please do not hesitate to correct me, and I'll apologise in advance for the mistake.
The Slight Risk area around it takes up parts of surrounding states, as well as parts of South Carolina and Georgia as well.
Now, onto…Read more >
First if all, yes ive pluralised tornadoes here, as as many as 3 confirmed tornadoes hit Canton, Texas last night and into the early hours of this morning. Having watched one live feed during the event, devastation was immediately evident, but after seeing other snippets of streaming from other teams in the same area, I can say one thing for certain. Horrific damage has occurred in Canton, with as many as 49 injuries reported, and 7 confirmed fatalities so far.
The first tornado touched down about 1930 CDT, and went on for more than 2 hours before finally lifting. This twister was well over a mile wide, and was powerful enough to lift buildings off foundations in the areas worst affected. Cars are reported as being thrown huge distances, bu…Read more >
the SPC is saying in MD 598 (which just expired) that a downstream watch to 174 would be possible...just look at the MD itself.Mesoscale Discussion 598 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017
Areas affected...Portions of southeastern MO and southern/central IL/IN
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174...
Valid 292330Z - 300030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174 continues.
SUMMARY...Mainly a damaging wind threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174. Downstream watch issuance into Indiana is possible.
DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms is moving eastward along a stationary boundary in east-central IL as of 2330Z. This line has produced multiple reports o…
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OK, so theres yet another Enhanced Risk out for todays outlook it seems. Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected, which may pose a risk of there being large hail, damaging winds, and even a few tornadoes could be possible.
The Enhanced Risk goes from mid TX up into parts of LA, OK, most of AR, and some of KS. This is surrounded by the usual Slight Risk area, which goes from around the Enhanced Risk area into parts of TN, KY, IL and OH.
It is worth noting that the 5% chance for tornadoes could be a little conservative based on the SPC forecasts for a 30% risk of both large hail, and damaging winds, but we will see later on today what happens.
As always, I will be updating this post if it is needed.Read more >
OK, so it seems that today has only received a large Enhanced Risk, at least for now. Within the risk area, there is the potential for numerous severe thunderstorms, capable of damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes according to the SPC.
The Enhanced Risk covers parts of TX, OK, AR, KS, KY, IN, OH, and TN, surrounded by a Slight Risk that covers areas of NE, and some of VA.
Now, onto yesterdays tornado reports, of which, besides the Marginal Risk, were plentiful. AL saw numerous tornadoes. A tornado in Montgomery County did widespread tree damage, and will probably receive an EF1 rating when surveys are complete. Another tornado was reported in Pike County, again in AL, which also produced considerable tree damage along its path. Bo…Read more >
OK, so here is the expected tornadic event, which has arrived earlier than expected. A Moderate Risk of severe thundertorms has been issued for parts of TX, AR and LA in association with a trough and dryline, as well as a developing surface frontal zone. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, of which a few could be strong, are forecast within this area.
An Enhanced Risk is also in effect for parts of TX, OK, TN and KS. This area has the potential for a few tornadoes, as well as some large hail and damaging wind gusts. This is surrounded by the usual Slight Risk area, which is expected to cover parts of IN, IL, KY, MS, and AL.
The main risk is expected to be during the early afternoon and into the early evening, and I will …Read more >
OK, I thought I'd bring you upto date with the latest developments on the expected tornado outbreak this week, so here goes.
Another trough is expected to move across the Plains on Friday, and coupled withan initial capping sector along a developing warm front, the conditions are forecast to be favourable for severe development later in the day once the cap breaks. This will allow fpr the possibility of supercell development, bring t=bringing the threat of large to very large hail, strong to dmaaging winds, and tornadoes to these areas. The SPC 30% hatched risk area is covering most of OK, as well as parts of AR. It is worth noting that an anticipated dryline is expected to form in this area, and that CAPE values will be extremely high - 5…Read more >
The 1300 UTC outlook has called for a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of GA and SC. The main risk is expected to be a few damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.
Not much can be said now, so I'll update if need be.Read more >
Im sad to announce my retirement it was fun being here i may come out of retirement one day for a third run but for now i am far too inactive
if i ever come back for a third run i will redisimgh rebuild and reclaim what i had before
NO this not an april fools joke
TheLunar2 (talk) 13:58, April 23, 2017 (UTC)Read more >
OK, this one might take some time, but here it goes. Model runs are suggesting a potent midway trough will be present across the four corner states. It is worth noting that although the Euro and GFS models, whilst showing different intensities of the trough and locations, both show a very moist environment over the four corners states of TX, OK,NE and AR.
The Euro is particularly consistent with this scenario, ejecting a vigorous shortwave trough from the central plains states. The GFS, on the other hand, keeps the trough going into the the four corners states. Both models, however, collide a very moist airmass with a well developed dryline by the afternoon of Thursday, April 28, and besides the difference between the modelling solutions, b…Read more >
There is currently a Slight Risk of severe weather in effect for 1200 UTC onwards (the next convective day). The main threat appears to be damaging wind gusts (15%) and large hail (15%), of which both of these have a Slight chance of occurring. There is also a Marginal (2%) chance for tornadoes.
The Slight Risk areas include far eastern LA, most of central MS, the northern half of AL, and the southern half of TN, which is surrounded by the usual Marginal Risk, which extends up the East Coast tot he Canadian border, where the 2% tornado probability is.
There was a tornado reported and confirmed by a spotter in Valley View, TX, which was heavily rain wrapped. Further details remain unknown at this time. Apart from that, there were several repo…Read more >
Today has ended up the 3rd Enhanced Risk outlook from the NWS SPC in a row, and to be honest, im surprised it not a Moderate.
The northern parts of TX, as well as southern OK, are in this risk area, which holds a 30% chance (moderate) for damaging winds, a 30% chance (moderate) for large to very large hail, as well as a slight chance (5%) for tornadoes.
The Slight Risk that surrounds it goes into central AR, though the threat is much less there.
Anyway, I'll update this as always if needed.Read more >
Today has another Enhanced Risk out, this time for a moderate wind risk (30%), large hail (15), as well as a small risk (5%) of tornadoes. This risk area covers areas of IL, MI and OH. Surrounding this area is the usual Slight Risk, which covers the areas immediately surrounding the Enhanced, as well as parts of extreme east-central US.
Further to the southwest, a Slight Risk has also been issued, with the expectation of a slight (15%) risk of large hail associated with afternoon thunderstorms. Areas in this area include northeastern TX, and from western to central OK.
The Marginal Risk goes between these two areas, as well as around them, like normal.
Onto yesterdays reports, where there were 3 tornado reports, all related. The suspected tor…Read more >
Today has become an Enhanced Risk for severe weather for portions of far northeastern NE, and most of IA. In the Slight Risk today will be parts of MI, WI, KS and IL.
The main risk is expected to be large hail (30%), damaging winds (15%), and the possibility of a few tornadoes (10%0 across a small portion of central IA.
The risk is expected to begin during mid afternoon for the areas affected, and will most likely last into the overnight hours.
As always, if the threat of severe weather requires an update to this blog, I will be able to do it until about 2230 UTC as always.Read more >
OK, straight into the post. There is a Slight Risk of severe weather for parts of TX, OK, KS and MO. Large hail,and a few instances of strong to damaging winds are expected, and the possibility of tornadoes, though only marginal (2%), cant be ruled out. The line of severe weather, if it occurs, will stretch from the Southern Plains up into the Ozarks.
The Marginal Risk area covers around the Slight Risk, as usual, and then up to the Canadian border along the eastern coast.
Whilst there were 6 reports of tornadoes yesterday, they were all short lived, and none did any significant damage. The tornado that happened outside Dimmitt, TX on April 14 was revealed to have remained stationary for over an hour, and was over a mile wide. Luckily though…Read more >